Seminários em Estatística

Nowcasting and forecasting the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Portugal

Transmissão através de Videoconferência

Speaker: Liliana Antunes (Departamento de Epidemiologia Instituto Nacional de Saúde Doutor Ricardo Jorge / Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa).

On March 11th of 2020, the World Health Organization declared the COVID-19 global public health emergency a pandemic.

In Portugal, the team at the department of epidemiology Instituto Nacional de Saúde Doutor Ricardo Jorge, has been, since the start of the epidemic, developing reports with an array of different statistical and mathematical procedures, in order to present a clear picture of the evolution of the epidemic, with the objective of supporting public health policy making. This work involved applying nowcasting and forecasting techniques, estimating real-time effective reproduction number, as well as building a SEIR-type model with heterogeneous mixing among age groups.

Public health officials systematically want to know the current trend of new cases, and if the implemented mitigation measures worked. Moreover, considering a set of new measures, which will be the most efficacious in reducing the incidence a mitigating the impact of the epidemic?

In order to describe the current transmissibility and the factors that influence its change, we need real-time information on the incidence of infection that can only be obtained with nowcasting techniques, given that, on a daily basis we only observe notifications of cases, which is lagged, and only contains a fraction of occurred onsets of the last weeks. Transmission dynamics mathematical models are then applied to create scenarios on the probable effect of a new mitigation measures and evaluate the impact of past ones.

This is a joint work with: Susana Silva1, Constantino Pereira Caetano1,2, Baltazar Nunes1,3.

Departamento de Epidemiologia, Instituto Nacional de Saúde Doutor Ricardo Jorge
Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa
Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública, Universidade NOVA de Lisboa

Seminário no contexto do MEIO - Mestrado de Estatística e Investigação Operacional.


Zoom | Password: 037629 - Meeting ID: 824 8023 2544

18h15
Departamento de Estatística e Investigação Operacional
Logótipo da Unite!

Summer School no âmbito da Rede UNITE! (University Network for Innovation, Technology and Engineering), de que faz parte a ULisboa.

Cartaz do evento

Uma iniciativa com o objetivo de aproximar a ciência dos jovens de todas as idades, com desafios, palestras e muita diversão, num formato inteiramente online!

Primeira edição das Manhãs de Matemática na Aberta, dedicada à Geometria, com a participação de Carlos Florentino (Ciências ULisboa). 

Hi-Phi Seminar, por Lorenzo Baravalle (FCUL, CFCUL) e Maurizio Esposito (FCUL, CIUHCT).

Solid Earth Seminar, por Ana Matias (CIMA - Universidade do Algarve, Portugal).

Seminário conjunto do Centro de Estatística e Aplicações da Universidade de Lisboa e do Centro de Matemática Computacional e Estocástica, por Dae-Jin Lee (BCAM - Basque Center for Applied Statistics / Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile - UC, Departamento de Ecología).

Imagem ilustrativa da sessão

Sessão de homenagem no âmbito da 13.ª Reunião Anual da APG - Associação Portuguesa de Geólogos.

Seminário Permanente de Filosofia das Ciências, por Gil Santos  (CFCUL/GI2).

Colóquio de Matemática, por Teresa Monteiro Fernandes (Departamento de Matemática | Ciências ULisboa).

O curso visa apresentar uma série de perspetivas sobre o desenvolvimento conceitual da estatística e sobre o uso de inferências e modelos estatísticos nas ciências empíricas.

Cartaz de apresentação da iniciativa

Young Inventors Prize / European Inventor Award: candidaturas até 01 de outubro de 2021.

Mapa antigo

Workshop internacional associado ao projeto Medea-Chart.

Imagem ilustrativa do curso, acompanhada de várias informações úteis

Um curso dirigido ao público em geral e a estudantes de arte ou ciência (a partir dos 16 anos), com interesse em desenho de observação, ilustração e biologia, com ou sem experiência em desenho.

The objective of this course is to introduce participants to the details of communication and writing scientific publications.

Imagem ilustrativa do programa, acompanhada do respetivo título

Um programa de aceleração de ideias e negócios, promovido pela redeSaúde, com candidaturas até 30 de setembro de 2021.

The objective of this course is to introduce participants to the details of communicating science to non-specialized audiences, including, but not exclusive to, public and private stakeholders, students and teachers, and media professionals.

This course aims to evidence the importance of natural history collections for the study of biodiversity, to show new tools and approaches to extract and disseminate biodiversity data from natural history collections and to increase awareness of young researchers for the scientific and cultural value of Natural History Museums.

The course aims at providing an introduction to stable isotopes ratios as tools to understand global, ecosystem and community level bio/geo cycles; light isotopes: H, N, C, O and S isotopes, geo cycles and ecological significance; sampling and analytical methodologies in stable isotope analysis.

EvoS aims at turning evolutionary theory into a common language to areas that pertain to the natural world, including human affairs.

The course SoilEco aims at introducing attendants to an updated state of the art of diversity of the soil biota and the functional roles played by soil organisms in key ecological processes.

In this course, we promote a multidisciplinary approach presenting the most recent findings on the topic and challenging the traditional way of considering symbiotic associations as exceptions and not as the rule.

The goal of this course is to provide to the participants with current and practical knowledge on urban ecology, including ecological and social aspects.

This course aims to explore ways of communicating science to non-specialized audiences, such as policy makers, industry, general public (including students and teachers), through their engagement and participation in citizen science activities.

This course introduces the field of island biogeography, a discipline that has long influenced other research areas such as macroecology, community ecology, evolution and conservation biology.

Scientists, as the main actors in the production of scientific knowledge, have the responsibility of having an active voice in communicating this knowledge – and that can be achieved for example by a conscious use of the communication tools at their disposal and a better articulation with journalists, among other means.

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