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Dynamic Modeling of Snow Distribution as Evolving Probability Density Function (PDF) using the Fokker Planck Equation (FPE)

Evento online

Por Noriaki Ohara (Associate professor, Civil and Architectural Engineering , University of Wyoming, USA).

The Fokker Planck equation ( describes the time evolution of the distribution function of fluctuating macroscopic variables In this presentation applications of FPE to study snow accumulation and thaw processes, attributable to considerable spatial and temporal variations are discussed First a bivariate FPE is derived from point scale process based governing equations This conceptual model is proven to be effective through comparing to the corresponding Monte Carlo simulation Then the more realistic single variated FPE model for snow depth is implemented with the snow redistribution and snowmelt rate as the main sources of stochasticity In this study several realistic approximations are proposed to compute the time space covariances describing effects induced by uneven snowmelt and snow redistribution Meanwhile observed high resolution snow depth data is analyzed to characterize the sub grid variability of snow depth to validate the FPE model Airborne light detection and ranging ( provide the snow depth measurements at 0 5 m resolution over two mountainous areas in southwestern Wyoming, Snowy Range and Laramie Range It is found that PDFs of snow depth tend to be Gaussian distributions in the forest areas However due to the no snow areas effect mainly caused by snow redistribution and uneven snowmelt the PDFs are eventually skewed as non Gaussian distribution Overall the proposed FPE model is shown to capture the main characteristics of observed snow sub grid variability in nature.


Transmissão online no canal de YouTube do cE3c.

12h00-13h00
cE3c - Centro de Ecologia, Evolução e Alterações Ambientais